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Smoothed Online Learning for Prediction in Piecewise Affine Systems

Neural Information Processing Systems

The problem of piecewise affine (PWA) regression and planning is of foundational importance to the study of online learning, control, and robotics, where it provides a theoretically and empirically tractable setting to study systems undergoing sharp changes in the dynamics. Unfortunately, due to the discontinuities that arise when crossing into different ``pieces,'' learning in general sequential settings is impossible and practical algorithms are forced to resort to heuristic approaches. This paper builds on the recently developed smoothed online learning framework and provides the first algorithms for prediction and simulation in PWA systems whose regret is polynomial in all relevant problem parameters under a weak smoothness assumption; moreover, our algorithms are efficient in the number of calls to an optimization oracle. We further apply our results to the problems of one-step prediction and multi-step simulation regret in piecewise affine dynamical systems, where the learner is tasked with simulating trajectories and regret is measured in terms of the Wasserstein distance between simulated and true data. Along the way, we develop several technical tools of more general interest.


Smooth Handovers via Smoothed Online Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With users demanding seamless connectivity, handovers (HOs) have become a fundamental element of cellular networks. However, optimizing HOs is a challenging problem, further exacerbated by the growing complexity of mobile networks. This paper presents the first countrywide study of HO optimization, through the prism of Smoothed Online Learning (SOL). We first analyze an extensive dataset from a commercial mobile network operator (MNO) in Europe with more than 40M users, to understand and reveal important features and performance impacts on HOs. Our findings highlight a correlation between HO failures/delays, and the characteristics of radio cells and end-user devices, showcasing the impact of heterogeneity in mobile networks nowadays. We subsequently model UE-cell associations as dynamic decisions and propose a realistic system model for smooth and accurate HOs that extends existing approaches by (i) incorporating device and cell features on HO optimization, and (ii) eliminating (prior) strong assumptions about requiring future signal measurements and knowledge of end-user mobility. Our algorithm, aligned with the O-RAN paradigm, provides robust dynamic regret guarantees, even in challenging environments, and shows superior performance in multiple scenarios with real-world and synthetic data.